IONS

Ionis Pharmaceuticals IncUS06/08/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
+1.37%
P05–P95 span
15.78%
Neighbors
34
Sharpness
0.68
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
2 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+2
-1.27%
Outer 90%
2/2(100%)
Middle 50%
0/2(0%)
Above median
0/2(0%)
Below median
2/2(100%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -4.58%P25: -0.12%P50: 1.37%P75: 3.62%P95: 11.20%

Computed at: 06/09/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 33.8 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.