Insights / us
INTC
Intel CorporationUS05/14/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+1.07%
P05–P95 span
12.13%
Neighbors
24
Sharpness
0.76
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-0.41%
Outer 90%
4/10(40%)
Middle 50%
3/10(30%)
Above median
8/10(80%)
Below median
2/10(20%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -4.38%P25: -1.40%P50: 1.07%P75: 3.48%P95: 7.75%
Computed at: 05/15/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 22.5 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.