Insights / us
INCY
Incyte CorporationUS05/27/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.43%
P05–P95 span
15.35%
Neighbors
27
Sharpness
0.69
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+10.80%
Outer 90%
9/10(90%)
Middle 50%
3/10(30%)
Above median
7/10(70%)
Below median
3/10(30%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -3.88%P25: -1.16%P50: 0.43%P75: 2.31%P95: 11.47%
Computed at: 05/28/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 26.5 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.