Insights / us
IEX
IDEX CorporationUS04/23/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+1.03%
P05–P95 span
12.49%
Neighbors
35
Sharpness
0.75
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+4.96%
Outer 90%
9/10(90%)
Middle 50%
2/10(20%)
Above median
9/10(90%)
Below median
1/10(10%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -5.18%P25: -0.84%P50: 1.03%P75: 2.43%P95: 7.31%
Computed at: 04/24/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 34.7 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.