Insights / us
IBKR
Interactive Brokers Group, Inc.US06/08/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+1.64%
P05–P95 span
14.26%
Neighbors
34
Sharpness
0.71
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
2 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+2
+0.56%
Outer 90%
1/2(50%)
Middle 50%
1/2(50%)
Above median
1/2(50%)
Below median
1/2(50%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -3.33%P25: -0.21%P50: 1.64%P75: 3.97%P95: 10.94%
Computed at: 06/09/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 33.7 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.