Insights / us
HWM
Howmet Aerospace Inc.US06/01/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.83%
P05–P95 span
16.78%
Neighbors
35
Sharpness
0.66
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
7 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+7
+4.12%
Outer 90%
7/7(100%)
Middle 50%
3/7(43%)
Above median
2/7(29%)
Below median
5/7(71%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -7.53%P25: -1.83%P50: 0.83%P75: 4.38%P95: 9.24%
Computed at: 06/02/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 34.7 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.