Insights / us
HWM
Howmet Aerospace Inc.US04/28/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.27%
P05–P95 span
10.42%
Neighbors
31
Sharpness
0.79
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+13.37%
Outer 90%
4/10(40%)
Middle 50%
2/10(20%)
Above median
8/10(80%)
Below median
2/10(20%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -5.02%P25: -1.13%P50: 0.27%P75: 1.51%P95: 5.40%
Computed at: 04/29/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 30.0 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.