Insights / us
HSY
The Hershey CompanyUS05/20/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.99%
P05–P95 span
14.19%
Neighbors
31
Sharpness
0.72
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-2.12%
Outer 90%
9/10(90%)
Middle 50%
2/10(20%)
Above median
5/10(50%)
Below median
5/10(50%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -6.84%P25: -1.00%P50: 0.99%P75: 3.14%P95: 7.35%
Computed at: 05/21/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 30.5 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.