Insights / us
HRL
Hormel Foods CorporationUS05/12/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+1.43%
P05–P95 span
18.80%
Neighbors
22
Sharpness
0.62
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+17.89%
Outer 90%
9/10(90%)
Middle 50%
9/10(90%)
Above median
8/10(80%)
Below median
2/10(20%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -4.21%P25: -0.77%P50: 1.43%P75: 5.22%P95: 14.59%
Computed at: 05/13/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 21.8 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.