Insights / us
HON
Honeywell International Inc.US05/06/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-1.02%
P05–P95 span
14.15%
Neighbors
29
Sharpness
0.72
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+3.77%
Outer 90%
10/10(100%)
Middle 50%
4/10(40%)
Above median
9/10(90%)
Below median
1/10(10%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -9.96%P25: -3.82%P50: -1.02%P75: 0.79%P95: 4.18%
Computed at: 05/07/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 28.5 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.