Insights / us
HON
Honeywell International Inc.US04/09/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-2.54%
P05–P95 span
10.18%
Neighbors
39
Sharpness
0.80
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-9.80%
Outer 90%
10/10(100%)
Middle 50%
6/10(60%)
Above median
2/10(20%)
Below median
8/10(80%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -8.31%P25: -4.70%P50: -2.54%P75: -0.62%P95: 1.87%
Computed at: 04/15/26, 02:46 AM · ESS 38.6 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.