HLT

Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc.US06/07/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
+0.71%
P05–P95 span
10.50%
Neighbors
39
Sharpness
0.79
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
3 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+3
+0.27%
Outer 90%
3/3(100%)
Middle 50%
1/3(33%)
Above median
1/3(33%)
Below median
2/3(67%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -4.33%P25: -1.02%P50: 0.71%P75: 2.79%P95: 6.17%

Computed at: 06/08/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 38.3 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.