HLT

Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc.US05/27/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move

-0.47%

P05–P95 span

10.04%

Neighbors

Sharpness

0.80

Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)

10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices

Realized @ D+10

+1.97%

Outer 90%

9/10(90%)

Middle 50%

5/10(50%)

Above median

7/10(70%)

Below median

3/10(30%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -5.48%P25: -2.36%P50: -0.47%P75: 1.02%P95: 4.56%

Computed at: 05/28/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 25.2 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.