HLT

Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc.US05/19/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move

-0.75%

P05–P95 span

10.61%

Neighbors

Sharpness

0.79

Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)

10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices

Realized @ D+10

+6.66%

Outer 90%

6/10(60%)

Middle 50%

0/10(0%)

Above median

10/10(100%)

Below median

0/10(0%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -4.80%P25: -2.01%P50: -0.75%P75: 0.88%P95: 5.81%

Computed at: 05/20/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 17.7 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.