HLT

Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc.US05/17/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move

+1.24%

P05–P95 span

11.86%

Neighbors

Sharpness

0.76

Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)

10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices

Realized @ D+10

+5.72%

Outer 90%

10/10(100%)

Middle 50%

6/10(60%)

Above median

9/10(90%)

Below median

1/10(10%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -3.81%P25: -0.61%P50: 1.24%P75: 3.20%P95: 8.06%

Computed at: 05/18/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 29.8 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.