HIG

The Hartford Insurance Group, Inc.US05/06/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move

-0.43%

P05–P95 span

10.02%

Neighbors

Sharpness

0.80

Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)

10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices

Realized @ D+10

+2.32%

Outer 90%

10/10(100%)

Middle 50%

7/10(70%)

Above median

9/10(90%)

Below median

1/10(10%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -3.86%P25: -1.92%P50: -0.43%P75: 1.03%P95: 6.16%

Computed at: 05/07/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 26.7 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.