Insights / us
HCA
HCA Healthcare, Inc.US05/28/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+1.21%
P05–P95 span
10.91%
Neighbors
24
Sharpness
0.78
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
9 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+9
-1.08%
Outer 90%
4/9(44%)
Middle 50%
1/9(11%)
Above median
0/9(0%)
Below median
9/9(100%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -4.89%P25: -1.26%P50: 1.21%P75: 2.88%P95: 6.02%
Computed at: 05/29/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 23.5 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.