Insights / us
HCA
HCA Healthcare, Inc.US04/12/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-5.29%
P05–P95 span
22.05%
Neighbors
39
Sharpness
0.56
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-9.73%
Outer 90%
9/10(90%)
Middle 50%
1/10(10%)
Above median
9/10(90%)
Below median
1/10(10%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -21.45%P25: -14.47%P50: -5.29%P75: -1.94%P95: 0.59%
Computed at: 04/15/26, 02:46 AM · ESS 38.5 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.