Insights / us
HCA
HCA Healthcare, Inc.US04/06/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.58%
P05–P95 span
8.55%
Neighbors
40
Sharpness
0.83
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-3.22%
Outer 90%
6/10(60%)
Middle 50%
5/10(50%)
Above median
8/10(80%)
Below median
2/10(20%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -4.32%P25: -1.97%P50: -0.58%P75: 0.67%P95: 4.23%
Computed at: 04/15/26, 02:47 AM · ESS 39.2 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.