Insights / us
HAL
Halliburton CompanyUS04/09/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.91%
P05–P95 span
11.75%
Neighbors
6
Sharpness
0.77
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+7.25%
Outer 90%
5/10(50%)
Middle 50%
4/10(40%)
Above median
9/10(90%)
Below median
1/10(10%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -9.55%P25: -3.73%P50: -0.91%P75: 0.44%P95: 2.20%
Computed at: 04/15/26, 02:46 AM · ESS 6.0 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.