Insights / us
GWW
W.W. Grainger, Inc.US04/12/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-3.20%
P05–P95 span
20.71%
Neighbors
35
Sharpness
0.59
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-0.85%
Outer 90%
10/10(100%)
Middle 50%
7/10(70%)
Above median
8/10(80%)
Below median
2/10(20%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -18.55%P25: -8.42%P50: -3.20%P75: -0.43%P95: 2.17%
Computed at: 04/15/26, 02:46 AM · ESS 34.6 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.