Insights / us
GS
The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc.US05/25/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-1.02%
P05–P95 span
11.12%
Neighbors
35
Sharpness
0.78
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+2.98%
Outer 90%
4/10(40%)
Middle 50%
1/10(10%)
Above median
9/10(90%)
Below median
1/10(10%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -8.29%P25: -3.68%P50: -1.02%P75: 0.66%P95: 2.83%
Computed at: 05/26/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 34.6 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.