Insights / us
GRMN
Garmin Ltd.US05/31/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+2.69%
P05–P95 span
12.34%
Neighbors
22
Sharpness
0.75
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
8 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+8
+2.41%
Outer 90%
8/8(100%)
Middle 50%
5/8(63%)
Above median
2/8(25%)
Below median
6/8(75%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -1.97%P25: 0.60%P50: 2.69%P75: 5.44%P95: 10.38%
Computed at: 06/01/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 21.4 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.