Insights / us
GRMN
Garmin Ltd.US05/04/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.72%
P05–P95 span
19.26%
Neighbors
30
Sharpness
0.61
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-4.57%
Outer 90%
10/10(100%)
Middle 50%
9/10(90%)
Above median
4/10(40%)
Below median
6/10(60%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -11.49%P25: -3.86%P50: -0.72%P75: 2.18%P95: 7.77%
Computed at: 05/05/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 28.9 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.