Insights / us
GPC
Genuine Parts CompanyUS04/13/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.87%
P05–P95 span
12.90%
Neighbors
35
Sharpness
0.74
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-3.73%
Outer 90%
10/10(100%)
Middle 50%
5/10(50%)
Above median
6/10(60%)
Below median
4/10(40%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -5.56%P25: -1.01%P50: 0.87%P75: 2.37%P95: 7.34%
Computed at: 04/15/26, 02:46 AM · ESS 34.7 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.