Insights / us
GOOGL
Alphabet Inc.US06/04/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.48%
P05–P95 span
11.07%
Neighbors
32
Sharpness
0.78
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
4 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+4
-2.28%
Outer 90%
4/4(100%)
Middle 50%
4/4(100%)
Above median
0/4(0%)
Below median
4/4(100%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -5.92%P25: -2.84%P50: -0.48%P75: 1.51%P95: 5.16%
Computed at: 06/05/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 31.5 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.