Insights / us
GOOGL
Alphabet Inc.US05/28/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.83%
P05–P95 span
12.11%
Neighbors
27
Sharpness
0.76
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
9 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+9
-7.08%
Outer 90%
6/9(67%)
Middle 50%
0/9(0%)
Above median
0/9(0%)
Below median
9/9(100%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -8.34%P25: -2.61%P50: -0.83%P75: 0.92%P95: 3.77%
Computed at: 05/29/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 26.2 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.