Insights / us
GOOG
Alphabet Inc.US06/02/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.69%
P05–P95 span
15.00%
Neighbors
23
Sharpness
0.70
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
6 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+6
-0.44%
Outer 90%
5/6(83%)
Middle 50%
4/6(67%)
Above median
3/6(50%)
Below median
3/6(50%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -6.79%P25: -1.33%P50: 0.69%P75: 2.99%P95: 8.21%
Computed at: 06/03/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 22.8 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.