Insights / us
GM
General Motors CompanyUS06/09/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.62%
P05–P95 span
14.74%
Neighbors
27
Sharpness
0.71
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
1 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+1
-3.19%
Outer 90%
0/1(0%)
Middle 50%
0/1(0%)
Above median
0/1(0%)
Below median
1/1(100%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -7.34%P25: -3.57%P50: -0.62%P75: 1.68%P95: 7.40%
Computed at: 06/10/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 26.6 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.