Insights / us
GM
General Motors CompanyUS04/15/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+2.08%
P05–P95 span
6.85%
Neighbors
29
Sharpness
0.86
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-0.90%
Outer 90%
7/10(70%)
Middle 50%
2/10(20%)
Above median
4/10(40%)
Below median
6/10(60%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -1.54%P25: 0.91%P50: 2.08%P75: 3.35%P95: 5.31%
Computed at: 04/16/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 28.6 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.