Insights / us
GILD
Gilead Sciences, Inc.US04/23/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+2.32%
P05–P95 span
10.65%
Neighbors
35
Sharpness
0.79
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-0.16%
Outer 90%
8/10(80%)
Middle 50%
3/10(30%)
Above median
0/10(0%)
Below median
10/10(100%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -2.58%P25: 0.05%P50: 2.32%P75: 4.81%P95: 8.07%
Computed at: 04/24/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 34.2 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.