Insights / us
GD
General Dynamics CorporationUS04/20/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+1.84%
P05–P95 span
9.97%
Neighbors
24
Sharpness
0.80
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+5.66%
Outer 90%
5/10(50%)
Middle 50%
3/10(30%)
Above median
4/10(40%)
Below median
6/10(60%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -3.08%P25: 0.08%P50: 1.84%P75: 3.83%P95: 6.89%
Computed at: 04/21/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 23.7 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.