Insights / us
FWONK
Liberty Media Corp-Liberty Formula OneUS06/03/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.05%
P05–P95 span
18.28%
Neighbors
34
Sharpness
0.63
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+3.50%
Outer 90%
10/10(100%)
Middle 50%
9/10(90%)
Above median
9/10(90%)
Below median
1/10(10%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -8.73%P25: -2.89%P50: 0.05%P75: 2.28%P95: 9.55%
Computed at: 06/04/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 33.8 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.