FWONA

Liberty Media Corp-Liberty Formula OneUS06/07/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move

+0.33%

P05–P95 span

32.50%

Neighbors

Sharpness

0.35

Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)

3 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices

Realized @ D+3

+1.73%

Outer 90%

3/3(100%)

Middle 50%

2/3(67%)

Above median

1/3(33%)

Below median

2/3(67%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -8.53%P25: -2.31%P50: 0.33%P75: 6.68%P95: 23.98%

Computed at: 06/08/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 35.0 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.