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FTAI
FTAI Aviation LtdUS06/04/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.20%
P05–P95 span
16.87%
Neighbors
36
Sharpness
0.66
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
4 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+4
-0.51%
Outer 90%
2/4(50%)
Middle 50%
1/4(25%)
Above median
0/4(0%)
Below median
4/4(100%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -7.12%P25: -2.33%P50: 0.20%P75: 3.07%P95: 9.75%
Computed at: 06/05/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 35.1 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.