Insights / us
FSLR
First Solar, Inc.US06/02/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.07%
P05–P95 span
11.16%
Neighbors
29
Sharpness
0.78
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
6 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+6
-11.22%
Outer 90%
0/6(0%)
Middle 50%
0/6(0%)
Above median
1/6(17%)
Below median
5/6(83%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -4.24%P25: -1.64%P50: -0.07%P75: 2.36%P95: 6.91%
Computed at: 06/03/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 28.5 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.