Insights / us
FSLR
First Solar, Inc.US05/31/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.76%
P05–P95 span
11.34%
Neighbors
24
Sharpness
0.77
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
8 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+8
-10.24%
Outer 90%
0/8(0%)
Middle 50%
0/8(0%)
Above median
3/8(38%)
Below median
5/8(63%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -6.71%P25: -2.32%P50: -0.76%P75: 0.69%P95: 4.63%
Computed at: 06/01/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 23.7 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.