Insights / us
FSLR
First Solar, Inc.US05/21/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.09%
P05–P95 span
16.26%
Neighbors
32
Sharpness
0.67
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+10.84%
Outer 90%
1/10(10%)
Middle 50%
0/10(0%)
Above median
10/10(100%)
Below median
0/10(0%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -9.84%P25: -3.11%P50: 0.09%P75: 2.09%P95: 6.42%
Computed at: 05/22/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 31.4 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.