Insights / us
FSLR
First Solar, Inc.US04/23/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.04%
P05–P95 span
10.65%
Neighbors
31
Sharpness
0.79
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+11.51%
Outer 90%
4/10(40%)
Middle 50%
2/10(20%)
Above median
8/10(80%)
Below median
2/10(20%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -4.35%P25: -1.62%P50: -0.04%P75: 1.82%P95: 6.30%
Computed at: 04/24/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 30.6 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.