Insights / us
FSLR
First Solar, Inc.US04/19/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.49%
P05–P95 span
10.66%
Neighbors
19
Sharpness
0.79
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+11.17%
Outer 90%
6/10(60%)
Middle 50%
2/10(20%)
Above median
8/10(80%)
Below median
2/10(20%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -5.33%P25: -1.73%P50: -0.49%P75: 1.15%P95: 5.33%
Computed at: 04/20/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 18.8 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.