Insights / us
FRT
Federal Realty Investment TrustUS06/09/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+1.08%
P05–P95 span
15.12%
Neighbors
16
Sharpness
0.70
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
1 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+1
+1.03%
Outer 90%
1/1(100%)
Middle 50%
1/1(100%)
Above median
1/1(100%)
Below median
0/1(0%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -4.56%P25: -1.48%P50: 1.08%P75: 3.52%P95: 10.56%
Computed at: 06/10/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 15.8 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.