Insights / us
FRT
Federal Realty Investment TrustUS05/04/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+1.02%
P05–P95 span
9.39%
Neighbors
37
Sharpness
0.81
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+0.05%
Outer 90%
10/10(100%)
Middle 50%
7/10(70%)
Above median
3/10(30%)
Below median
7/10(70%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -3.33%P25: -0.75%P50: 1.02%P75: 3.15%P95: 6.06%
Computed at: 05/05/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 36.5 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.