Insights / us
FRT
Federal Realty Investment TrustUS04/26/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.55%
P05–P95 span
16.62%
Neighbors
32
Sharpness
0.67
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+3.98%
Outer 90%
10/10(100%)
Middle 50%
2/10(20%)
Above median
9/10(90%)
Below median
1/10(10%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -8.65%P25: -1.43%P50: 0.55%P75: 2.11%P95: 7.97%
Computed at: 04/27/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 31.6 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.