Insights / us
FITB
Fifth Third BancorpUS05/25/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.02%
P05–P95 span
10.88%
Neighbors
37
Sharpness
0.78
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+6.16%
Outer 90%
10/10(100%)
Middle 50%
4/10(40%)
Above median
8/10(80%)
Below median
2/10(20%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -4.25%P25: -1.46%P50: -0.02%P75: 1.84%P95: 6.63%
Computed at: 05/26/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 36.2 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.