Insights / us
FICO
Fair Isaac CorporationUS06/01/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-1.07%
P05–P95 span
18.51%
Neighbors
36
Sharpness
0.63
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
7 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+7
-6.18%
Outer 90%
4/7(57%)
Middle 50%
3/7(43%)
Above median
0/7(0%)
Below median
7/7(100%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -12.78%P25: -4.30%P50: -1.07%P75: 0.71%P95: 5.73%
Computed at: 06/02/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 35.4 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.