Insights / us
FDX
FedEx CorporationUS05/28/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.21%
P05–P95 span
14.90%
Neighbors
32
Sharpness
0.70
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
9 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+9
+2.02%
Outer 90%
8/9(89%)
Middle 50%
6/9(67%)
Above median
2/9(22%)
Below median
7/9(78%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -9.79%P25: -1.92%P50: 0.21%P75: 1.70%P95: 5.11%
Computed at: 05/29/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 31.6 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.