Insights / us
FDX
FedEx CorporationUS05/26/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-1.18%
P05–P95 span
10.86%
Neighbors
33
Sharpness
0.78
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-3.07%
Outer 90%
9/10(90%)
Middle 50%
7/10(70%)
Above median
7/10(70%)
Below median
3/10(30%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -8.14%P25: -3.08%P50: -1.18%P75: 0.60%P95: 2.72%
Computed at: 05/27/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 32.4 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.