Insights / us
FDX
FedEx CorporationUS05/17/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+1.63%
P05–P95 span
9.83%
Neighbors
30
Sharpness
0.80
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+9.09%
Outer 90%
5/10(50%)
Middle 50%
1/10(10%)
Above median
9/10(90%)
Below median
1/10(10%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -3.14%P25: -0.07%P50: 1.63%P75: 3.60%P95: 6.69%
Computed at: 05/18/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 29.8 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.