FDX

FedEx CorporationUS05/12/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move

+0.52%

P05–P95 span

10.13%

Neighbors

Sharpness

0.80

Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)

10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices

Realized @ D+10

+8.75%

Outer 90%

8/10(80%)

Middle 50%

1/10(10%)

Above median

7/10(70%)

Below median

3/10(30%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -4.94%P25: -1.02%P50: 0.52%P75: 1.73%P95: 5.19%

Computed at: 05/13/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 22.2 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.