Insights / us
FDX
FedEx CorporationUS04/19/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.07%
P05–P95 span
8.83%
Neighbors
40
Sharpness
0.82
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-8.29%
Outer 90%
8/10(80%)
Middle 50%
7/10(70%)
Above median
5/10(50%)
Below median
5/10(50%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -5.24%P25: -1.47%P50: -0.07%P75: 1.19%P95: 3.59%
Computed at: 04/20/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 39.2 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.